오일 패치가 AI의 힘을 발견하다

The Oil Patch Discovers AI Power THE DAILY --- H.E.A.T. Torching Wall Street’s Obsolete Playbook. Delivered straight to your inbox 5 days a week. Subscribe Home Posts The Oil Patch Discovers AI Power The Oil Patch Discovers AI Power Oct 21, 2025 I’ve been a trader and investor for 44 years. I left Wall Street long ago—-once I understood that their obsolete advice is designed to profit them, not you. Today, my firm manages around $4.5 billion in ETFs, and I don’t answer to anybody. I tell the truth because trying to fool investors doesn’t help them, or me. In Daily --- H.E.A.T. , I show you how to Hegde against disaster, find your Edge, exploit Asymmetric opportunities, and ride major Themes before Wall Street catches on. Table of Contents Announcements --- H.E.A.T. What’s Moving Markets Today How Else Can I Help You Announcements I’m doing a webinar this week about why covered calls – one of the most-touted “safe” ways to generate income – are in reality portfolio poison… and I’ll tell you what to do instead. You can sign up here --- H.E.A.T. I write a lot about AI power, but not a lot about oil and gas companies. If you look at a monthly chart of The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE), it really hasn’t gone anywhere in a while….. The recent news out of LBRT, which I got into last week, leads me to wonder if the next AI power boom may be in oil and gas stocks…. The Oil Patch Discovers AI Power Oil and gas companies are chasing a new source of growth—the AI power buildout. With crude prices down 20% this year and traditional exploration budgets stagnant, energy firms are pivoting toward powering data centers, a business with a secular growth curve instead of a cyclical one. Liberty Energy (LBRT) is the poster child for this shift. Once a pure fracking services firm, Liberty is now talking more about megawatts than shale wells. Its stock jumped 28% after earnings on enthusiasm for its new power business, despite weak results in its core operations. Management says its data-center power pipeline has doubled in three months, with more than one gigawatt of capacity expected by 2027—roughly a nuclear plant’s output. The company is still carrying higher debt and remains down 23% for the year, but the narrative has changed: investors are valuing it less as a fracker and more as a utility in disguise. SLB (formerly Schlumberger) is following a similar path. Its data-center solutions revenue doubled year over year to $331 million in the first nine months of 2025. That’s still a small fraction of its $26 billion total sales, but the growth rate—and its technical edge in high-capacity power infrastructure—positions SLB as a credible player if the trend accelerates. This move underscores a broader truth about the energy transition: the oil industry’s engineering, grid, and logistics expertise make it uniquely suited to bridge the gap between fossil and digital energy demand. The question is whether these businesses can scale before their balance sheets and investors lose patience. We’ve been emphasizing AI power generation as the next big trade—Constellation (CEG), Vistra (VST), and NRG (NRG) have been the pure-play winners so far. Liberty and SLB could be the next wave of entrants if they can convert their energy infrastructure into reliable power-for-AI revenue. As for the broader sector, the Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) hasn’t made a new high since 2008. Oil and gas equities have delivered two decades of volatility but no structural growth. This pivot toward data centers could finally give energy stocks a durable theme—but only for those willing to evolve from hydrocarbons to horsepower. Potential Winners: Liberty Energy (LBRT), SLB, Constellation (CEG), Vistra (VST), NRG Energy (NRG), and TPL as a land and leasing play. Expectation: Oil itself remains rangebound, but power-linked energy names are becoming the new growth story in the sector. If Liberty Energy (LBRT) becomes the blueprint for oil-services firms pivoting into AI-driven power supply, the next wave of potential “LBRT-like” stories will come from companies that already straddle the line between energy infrastructure and power systems engineering — firms with existing grid assets, gas generation capabilities, or distributed power technology that can be redirected toward data-center demand. Here’s who fits that profile: 1. Halliburton (HAL) Halliburton has been quietly investing in digital oilfield automation and power-management systems to reduce emissions at drilling sites. It already provides mobile gas-to-power units and micro-grids similar to Liberty’s. If it begins to market these to hyperscalers or data-center developers, HAL could follow the same playbook—repurpose existing distributed-generation equipment for constant-load customers rather than cyclical fracking demand. 2. Baker Hughes (BKR) Baker Hughes’ turbomachinery division builds gas turbines and compressors used in both LNG and industrial-power generation. That hardware could easily migrate into on-site generation for data centers. BKR also owns software and controls technology through its Nexus Controls arm—critical for integrating distributed power assets into AI-center power networks. 3. Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN) After merging with NexTier, PTEN now has a large fleet of dual-fuel and electric-frac systems powered by natural gas. Its “Power Solutions” business, which manages high-load electrical systems, could be expanded to supply continuous power to off-oilfield customers, mirroring Liberty’s transition from frack power to data-center power. 4. Technip Energies (THNPY) A European engineering contractor with deep experience in LNG, hydrogen, and modular energy infrastructure. Its skill set overlaps directly with the design and build of high-efficiency power blocks—making it a likely partner for utilities or AI-campus developers needing turnkey low-carbon generation. 5. Generac (GNRC) Not an oil-services firm, but its distributed generation and backup-power units already serve data-center clients. If large-scale AI infrastructure demands localized power, Generac’s move into natural-gas micro-grids could mirror Liberty’s evolution on a smaller-cap scale. Key takeaway: The next Liberty will be a company that: • Already produces or manages high-density power at the wellhead or industrial sites. • Has underutilized engineering capacity due to weak oil prices. • Possesses a balance sheet nimble enough to fund new infrastructure without betting the company. Among U.S. names, Patterson-UTI (PTEN) and Baker Hughes (BKR) look closest to that sweet spot. Both have the assets, technical expertise, and motivation to pivot as AI power demand explodes. What’s Moving Markets Today Yesterday we saw a massive move up in precious metals and crypto at the same time. Who’s been pounding the table for that? Rareview 2X Bull Cryptocurrency & Precious Metals ETF The Rareview Total Return Bond ETF (the “Fund”) seeks to provide a total return through the combination of current income and capital appreciation. rareviewcapital.com/2x-bull-cryptocurrency-precious-metals-etf At the moment, Bitcoin is back below it’s 200 day moving average… Ethereum is under the 10 day… I’d be looking for spots to add to both Gold (GLD) looks like a quantum stock…. I may buy some weakness today, but only because I’ve been selling into strength. This probably has to settle down a bit before I get really excited adding to it at these levels. 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