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The Robots are Coming THE DAILY --- H.E.A.T. Torching Wall Street’s Obsolete Playbook. Delivered straight to your inbox 5 days a week. Subscribe Home Posts The Robots are Coming The Robots are Coming Aug 14, 2025 Wall Street’s 60/40 formula was born in 1952 — the same year as the first credit card. A lot has changed since. That’s why we created a new approach — The --- H.E.A.T. Formula — to empower investors to spot opportunities, think independently, make smarter (often contrarian) moves, and build real wealth. Table of Contents 🔥 Here’s What’s Happening Now 🧠 The Robots are Coming 📈 Stock Corner 📬 --- In Case You Missed It 🤝 Before You Go Some Ways I Can Help 🔥 Here’s What’s Happening Now Markets were higher again, possibly pricing in a more dovish Fed after Bessent commented that they should cut rates by 50bp. I have heard similar rumblings, but my sense is that larger than 25bp cuts are reserved for emergencies so I don’t see it happening. So I agree with this…. Why a jumbo Fed rate cut in September would ‘come across as panicky’-MarketWatch The big news in markets right now is the relative outperformance of small caps the past couple of days…. It’s no secret that I think the Russell 2000 is a crappy index. What we see from time to time is that things get out of whack and they come back into line a bit over a couple of days. I don’t think we see any great rotation into small caps and if I decide to add to hedges it would probably be on IWM. Meanwhile, crypto keeps chugging along. Bitcoin made new highs overnight, has pulled back a bit here though…. 🧠 The Robots are Coming UBS just wrote a report on robotics. I believe that robotics, or physical AI, is going to be one of the most powerful themes going forward (look for an ETF from us soon). As always I want to figure out who are the likely winners and losers…. What UBS just signaled (and why it matters) Cycle turning up: After ~2 years of manufacturing softness/destocking, UBS expects a recovery in automation through late ’25–’26 , with the overall automation & robotics market at ~$201B in ’25 rising to ~$222B by ’27 —helped by digitalization, GenAI, and reshoring. Tariff noise could slow near-term decisions but boost medium-term capex as footprints localize. Humanoids move from sci-fi to line item: UBS adds a new track for humanoid robots —small today (~$1B ’ • 25) but $30–50B TAM by 2035 and $1.4–$1.7T by 2050 if adoption scales from factory tasks toward general-purpose work. Early volumes hinge on Tesla/China buildouts and data for training. Software is the quiet compounder: Industrial software (PLM/MES/digital twins) carries high margins and high-single-digit growth as factories digitize and GenAI interfaces lower adoption friction. Robotics demand broadens: Robot density keeps rising (China now >50% of annual installs), auto no longer the majority end-market, and cobots are taking share. AI spend is a tailwind, not the theme here: UBS carves “AI” into a separate stack but still sees it enabling automation (reasoning models, natural-language programming, predictive maintenance). First-order winners (direct exposure) Industrial software / digital twins – recurring revenue + GenAI leverage PTC (PTC), Dassault (DSY FP), Siemens (SIE GY), Autodesk (ADSK), AspenTech (AZPN) — core PLM/MES/physics-grounded modeling used to design, simulate and run automated lines. Factory & process automation platforms – control + sensors + services Rockwell (ROK), Emerson (EMR), ABB (ABB), Schneider (SU FP), Yokogawa (6841 JP), Honeywell (HON) — DCS/PLC, instrumentation, lifecycle service. Robotics – arms, cobots, install base expansion Fanuc (6954 JP/FANUY), Yaskawa (6506 JP), ABB Robotics . Power & electrification for automated plants – switchgear/transformers Eaton (ETN), Hubbell (HUBB), Powell (POWL) — benefited by capacity adds and higher electrical intensity of automated/AI-adjacent sites. Early humanoid exposure (high-beta, event-driven) Tesla (TSLA) via Optimus program; selected start-ups (mostly private) . Keep sizing small; milestones = pilot deployments, unit ramp, and training-data scaling. Second-order winners (picks & shovels around the core) Machine vision / sensors: Keyence (6861 JP), Cognex (CGNX), Teledyne (TDY) — quality control and guidance for robots. Motion/precision & mechatronics: Parker-Hannifin (PH), AMETEK (AME), SMC (6273 JP) — actuators, drives, precision components. OT-focused integrators & services: Accenture (ACN), IBM (IBM) industrial software services; Jacobs (J), KBR (KBR) for process/DOE sites. Industrial networking/IIoT & edge compute: beneficiaries as plants connect equipment and add AI at the edge. Third-order winners (ecosystem & capacity unlocks) Logistics/warehouse automation: Symbotic (SYM) ; operators like GXO (GXO) benefit from customer automation waves. Grid upgrades feeding automated/AI sites: Quanta (PWR), MYR Group (MYRG) (transmission build), GE Vernova (GEV), Siemens Energy (ENR), ABB (HVDC/protection). Industrial cybersecurity for OT (public: FTNT, PANW ): more connectivity ⇒ more attack surface. Potential losers / risks to watch Hardware-only automation vendors without software/service layers (pricing pressure, Chinese competition). Names overindexed to tariff-sensitive capex if decisions slip; commodities downturn would dent process orders. Cyber/quality failures in highly connected plants (operational risk). Portfolio construction ( --- H.E.A.T. framing) Themes: “Smart Factory” and “AI-enabled Automation.” Asymmetry: Core in software (PTC/ADSK/DSY/AZPN) + controls (ROK/EMR/ABB/SU) ; satellite in vision (CGNX/KEYENCE) and power (ETN/HUBB/POWL) ; optionality sleeve in humanoids (small). Edges: Track cobot share , PLM/MES bookings , and China robot installs ; watch digital-twin adoption on calls. Hedges: Pair longs in software/controls vs. a basket of low-moat hardware ; maintain index hedges for a macro slowdown. What to monitor next (catalysts) Book-to-bill re-acceleration across automation OEMs; signs of late-’25/’26 capex up-cycle . Humanoid pilot deployments (unit counts, use-case ROIs). MES/PLM GenAI features driving seat/ARR growth; cobot mix in IFR data. Bottom line: UBS’s update argues the automation up-cycle is re-starting , software is the durable compounder , robots resume secular penetration (with cobots & EMs doing heavy lifting), and humanoids become a real—but small—option on the out-years. Build your core around industrial software + controls + electrification , then layer torque via robotics/vision and a measured humanoid sleeve. Gold and bitcoin are both vying to be safe havens for investors. Why gold is winning so far this year.-MarketWatch When will people realize it’s Gold AND Bitcoin, not Gold OR Bitcoin…… — # (# ) 📈 Stock Corner Today’s stock is Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)….. Barron’s came out with a story suggesting that AMD might have a slight edge over NVDA in next generation GPUs….. Nvidia Stock Wavers, AMD Gains. What’s Driving the AI Chip Players. www.barrons.com/articles/amd-stock-price-nvidia-ai-chips-defb3a09 I think NVDA is a must own, but I don’t think you get a lot of alpha from owning it. Not sure AMD is in that same category, at least not yet, but would put it as a stock you ought to own. 📬 --- In Case You Missed It I appeared on the Advisor’s Option podcast talking about options strategies and some upcoming products……. 🤝 Before You Go Some Ways I Can Help ETFs : The Antidote to Wall Street Inside HEAT: Our Monthly Live Call on What Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know Financial HEAT Podcast https://www.youtube.com/@TuttleCap Freedom from the Wall Street Hypocrisy Tuttle Wealth Management: Your Wealth Unshackled Advanced HEAT Insights: Matt’s Inner Circle, Your Financial Edge All rights reserved. Keep Reading No posts found View more caret-right 0