중국의 중요 광물 초크홀드 = 경제 전쟁

China’s Critical Minerals Chokehold = Economic Warfare THE DAILY --- H.E.A.T. Torching Wall Street’s Obsolete Playbook. Delivered straight to your inbox 5 days a week. Subscribe Home Posts China’s Critical Minerals Chokehold = Economic Warfare China’s Critical Minerals Chokehold = Economic Warfare Aug 5, 2025 Wall Street’s 60/40 formula was born in 1952 — the same year as the first credit card. A lot has changed since. That’s why we created a new approach — The --- H.E.A.T. Formula — to empower investors to spot opportunities, think independently, make smarter (often contrarian) moves, and build real wealth. Table of Contents 🔥 Here’s What’s Happening Now 🧠 Strategic Signal: China’s Critical Minerals Cho … Eric and Donald Trump Jr. to Own Millions of Share … 📈 Stock Corner 📬 --- In Case You Missed It 🤝 Before You Go Some Ways I Can Help 🔥 Here’s What’s Happening Now I should write a doom and gloom newsletter more often. Friday’s sell off did feel like more than a one day wonder, but that’s why we don’t try to time the market. Seems like we are back in a bad news (slowing economy) is good news (Fed cutting rates) phase. I would suppose this is fine as long as the bad news isn’t that bad. SPY is now back above the 20 day EMA and is poised to try to retake the 10 day MA. As I always say, trade based on what you see, not what you think. This market is still in an uptrend until proven otherwise. Keep your head on a swivel, you can explain away the weak jobs number as it was mostly the government sector, not sure how you explain away PCE though. 🧠 Strategic Signal: China’s Critical Minerals Chokehold = Economic Warfare We did a podcast on rare earths a few weeks ago….. I saw this article in the WSJ on Monday…. China Is Choking Supply of Critical Minerals to Western Defense Companies-WSJ This article makes one thing clear: Beijing is weaponizing control of rare earths and critical minerals , not just as leverage in trade negotiations but as real-time throttles on Western defense readiness . ❝ This is not a theoretical threat — delays are already rippling through drone parts, night vision sensors, and missile systems. Top-Level Takeaways: China controls ~90% of rare earth production globally Export controls now discriminate between civilian and defense end use Pricing for key minerals (e.g., samarium) is up 5x–60x due to artificial scarcity China now demands product images and supply chain disclosures before allowing exports — effectively making military supply chains nonfunctional 🛡️ U.S. Defense Supply Chain: Strategic Vulnerability Key materials affected: Rare earths (neodymium, samarium, dysprosium) → permanent magnets Germanium → infrared optics, missile seekers Antimony → hardening for munitions Gallium → radar, night vision, satellite communications Systems impacted: F-35 fighter jets (magnets, sensors) Drones & UAVs (motors, targeting) Night vision optics Missile guidance systems Advanced defense semiconductors ❝ The Pentagon reportedly tracks 80,000+ parts that rely on Chinese-controlled materials. The exposure is real, deep, and systemic. 🔥 Implications for U.S. Markets 🟢 1. Massive U.S. Onshoring Catalyst The Pentagon’s investment in MP Materials ($MP) — $400M stake with options to increase — is a clear signal of U.S. willingness to intervene directly in commodity supply chains . Other public/private partnerships and grants are coming: Department of Defense’s Critical Minerals Forum Incentives for alternative refining, smelting, and extraction Strategic stockpiling, defense contractor upstream integration ❝ Investors should view this as a 10+ year capital formation cycle in critical materials, magnets, and domestic mining tech. 🟢 2. U.S. Public Companies That Win ✅ Miners & Materials Processors Ticker Company Theme $MP MP Materials Largest U.S. rare earth miner (DoD-backed) $UAMY U.S. Antimony Corp Only North American antimony supplier (high risk, high reward) $LTHM Livent Lithium, but increasingly positioned in metals tech $ALB Albemarle Broader critical mineral exposure $PLL Piedmont Lithium U.S. extraction credibility growing $TMRC Texas Mineral Resources Microcap, direct rare earths story $REEMF Rare Element Resources Pre-revenue, but strategic relevance growing ✅ Defense & Supply Chain Integrators Ticker Company Why It Matters $LMT Lockheed Martin F-35 program, praised MP deal $RTX RTX Corp Night vision, missile guidance $LHX L3Harris Electronic warfare systems heavily exposed $DRS Leonardo DRS Critical Germanium user (on safety stock) ✅ Next-Gen Refiners & Recycling Company Note Phoenix Tailings (private) Rare-earth metals refining in MA USA Rare Earth (private, Oklahoma) Targeting magnet supply chain Vulcan Elements (private, NC) U.S. startup aligned with drone suppliers ❝ Takeaway : These names don’t just benefit from rare earth tailwinds — they are increasingly defense-critical national security plays . 🔴 3. Chinese ADRs at Risk ⚠️ Targets of U.S. decoupling, export bans, or supply chain exits Ticker Company Risk Factor $GURE Gulf Resources Chinese bromine/chemical producer — likely watched $BYDDY BYD Company EVs dependent on rare earths — faces both import and export pressure $XPEV / $LI XPeng, Li Auto EV platforms potentially hit by magnet restrictions ❝ Many of these may become non-investable in Western portfolios if restrictions tighten. 🎯 Tactical Recommendations ✅ Near-Term: Buy $MP, LMT, UAMY on dips — structural beneficiaries Monitor defense contractors’ 10-K language for raw material mentions Model backlog fragility for smaller contractors with long lead time gear (UAVs, optics) Add thematic exposure to critical minerals via options and swaps where liquidity allows ⚠️ Watch for: Pullbacks in rare earth names on “deal news” with China — those are buy-the-dip setups Capitol Hill legislation focused on critical minerals and magnets (bills likely coming 2H • 25) U.S.-Japan or U.S.-Australia strategic mineral deals 🧠 Final Strategic View China isn’t just using tariffs — it’s squeezing magnetism, visibility, and firepower at the atomic level. ❝ This is economic warfare by commodity control , and the West is scrambling to respond. This creates a rare intersection of: National security alpha Resource scarcity tailwinds DoD-backed capital flows Defensive growth themes with secular duration This is a multiyear, thematic trade . Eric and Donald Trump Jr. to Own Millions of Shares in New U.S. Manufacturing SPAC-WSJ I love the asymmetric nature of pre merger SPACs, and I like it even more when SPACs hit on a major theme. There is no better theme than the President’s inner circle, so keep an eye on this one…. — # (# ) 📈 Stock Corner Last night’s big earnings name was PLTR, below the radar was BWX Technologies (BWXT)…. It’s already at all time highs and will have a potential buyable gap up on the open. I am a big believer that the future of AI energy production has to include nuclear, but nuclear is a ways away and small companies like SMR and OKLO don’t have a lot else going for them. In contrast, BWTX is a “real” business. From GPT….. ❝ BWX Technologies (BWXT) is the backbone of America’s nuclear naval fleet and a rising star in the commercialization of advanced nuclear power. As the sole supplier of nuclear reactors and fuel for U.S. Navy submarines and aircraft carriers, BWXT offers unmatched government revenue stability with long-cycle contracts. But the real upside is in its expansion into small modular reactors (SMRs), space-based nuclear propulsion, and medical isotopes—critical themes in defense, energy security, and AI-powered data center cooling, all of which require dense, dispatchable power. With geopolitical tensions rising and Western governments racing to onshore critical infrastructure, BWXT is a pure-play on nuclear resurgence, defense tailwinds, and next-gen energy tech . This is a stock to own for both stability and optionality. 📬 --- In Case You Missed It Markets look to rebound after tough Friday Matthew Tuttle, CEO of Tuttle Capital Management, joins LiveNOW from FOX to talk about the market looking to rebound after a tough Friday. President Trump fired the commissioner of Labor Statistics. www.livenowfox.com/video/1685363 🤝 Before You Go Some Ways I Can Help ETFs : The Antidote to Wall Street Inside HEAT: Our Monthly Live Call on What Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know Financial HEAT Podcast https://www.youtube.com/@TuttleCap Freedom from the Wall Street Hypocrisy Tuttle Wealth Management: Your Wealth Unshackled Advanced HEAT Insights: Matt’s Inner Circle, Your Financial Edge All rights reserved. Keep Reading No posts found View more caret-right 0